India Morning Report: Considering the velocity of the move, it is now improbable that the bull run is yet in progress?

Pivot table NSE Banknifty PSUBank index scrips...

Pivot table NSE Banknifty PSUBank index scrips from OJN for 20110609 (Photo credit: OJN2)

 

The 90 point move on the Nifty yesterday, trying to make spectators out of those opting for not such a roller coaster move means that the classic correction/ consolidation prospects have also improved apart from the secondary improbability of conditions improving as no policy execution is likely.

However markets would woot for Goldman Sachs’ revised targets and Moodys’ clean chit for the subcontinent’s Economic goliath “Mumbai dreams” upping growth forecasts to stratospheric ( and they were so “stratospheric” just 8 years ago) levels of above 6% by FY 2015

The Pre Open went along expected lines, traced the line in the sand for bear traps with fastest rising prices from Bharti and HDFC Bank to Axis Bank among others correcting to Monday levels before the Pre open ended with a sigh above 5730 , cutting out shorts from the lifelines to the next few millenia. Decks are cleared for all cash subsidies and other such tools that would ensure no Old India thus gets in the way of New India but I would think the more things change the more they remain the same as young India hardly owns any mints especially if high priced MBAs ( like us) are as few and young couples that are actually growing Bangalore’s per household income and disposable spend levels are actually as relatively poor as they are with MNCs leading local IT companies in correcting compensation to an affordable baseline suitable for fatter expansion of numbers on call from more working class ratios like teeth to tail ratio ( ratio of solders to commanders) and enabling keeping existing customers happy as possibly only viable strategy inputs including at banks and marketing consumer companies hitherto fueled by top management / boardroom expansions.

Of course for the markets that aside is as peripheral to the rally as the Moodys’ report they triggered to a big high yesterday and as peripheral as the bickering in Parliament led by that able woman on how to lose the no confidence vote to be tabled by the opposition in Parliament

Banks esp Axis Bank and HDFC Bank that led yesterday could exchange roles with ICICI Bank and because the fourth member of the trading independence consortium of the banks i..e. SBI or Banknifty (PSU – not a defined sub index) is incapable of leading from the front without crashing through it is unlikely that the Nifty will easily cross over the 6000 line yet again. I wonder what gives when the Nifty finally does it in a few weeks from now.

 

 

The Goldman Sachs Tower - Jersey city, NJ.

The Goldman Sachs Tower – Jersey city, NJ. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

 

 

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4 thoughts on “India Morning Report: Considering the velocity of the move, it is now improbable that the bull run is yet in progress?

  1. Pingback: India Morning Report: Some New Shoots , Some Old Short Stuff..Nifty Rolls Right In 2013 « A blog of blogs

  2. Pingback: India Morning Report: Value breakdown continues to reassign Nifty weights, banks in trouble « A blog of blogs

  3. Pingback: India Morning Report: A flurry of good results in Week 2 but markets wait more Budget news for FY 2014 « A blog of blogs

  4. Pingback: India Morning Report: Is that the big breakthrough to All time highs? « A blog of blogs

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