Even as Goldman Sachs walked away with advisory business worth $220 B in the first 5 months, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan close behind with more than $210 B each, it was still a 20% weaker market in 2012, a market nearly at rest with Energy, Real Estate and Technology getting up with the most interest. India skimmed off an additional $20 B (est in Deal volumes in the months of April – June 2012 from the Deals business after the GAAR announcement as the quarter emulated the Q4 grounded business data of $3.6 B volumes ofedeals in M&A in the three months. That came on more than $21 B in the January to March period
Outbound M&A till last week (June 22) in 2012 also hit the brakes after International protectionism hit the first few and deal volumes were a third at $2.2 B after a $6.5 B H1 in 2011. Indian trageted M&A from FIIs being dead, Domestic M&A grew 27% in H1 to account for most of the volume
The new UMPPS would be bid in September as Standard Bid Documents are ready but with imported fuel prices high and Domestic Coal availability still in question with 65% Fuel Supply Agreements, it is likely that the government need to sweeten the pot till then to keep investor interest alive.
Government in the meantime considers setting back the GAAR / Section 9 deadline to pacify investors as lower Oil prices brin ginvestor interest back
(References: Hindu BL, CNBC India, various)