Vikram Pandit’s new efforts in India with Kampani’s JM Financial may get JM a 10% bump in stock quotes but it is unlikely that his 50% buy of the subsidiary and 490 million warrants worth 3% of the listed company with Hari Aiyar and wife in the new bank application at this stage will build … Continue reading
The One hour saturday session did not help nor the coming Liikanen report in the EU scare banks and investors on the Asia story as Monday began apparently without due cause or available discretion. Not to give in to rabid bursts of disgusted incompetence but, india remains patiently in wait to distinguish itself … Continue reading
As Friday wound down in equities, the morning’s gap opening held up and Wall Street was celebrating the summit as well leaving little doubt to Monday open marks on the Nifty. My personal trading strategy has been to hold on to my good investments and recommendations and buy into the bank nifty by selling a … Continue reading
Irrespective of a slow moving day, bond yields have moved up to 8.1% because of thin trading / under supply of the new 10 year benchmark. RBI will be holding a Inr 150 B auction on 29th to introduce a new 5 year bond (40 B) which will ease trading in Indian FI markets. The … Continue reading
The Euro of course is at 1.26 and the Rupee, happy kept its level to the Euro as benchmark for Dollar’s movements against the Rupee has gladly tempered this rise of the Euro to 70.40 in morning trades ( Interbank rates at 70.4, nse can run at a retail premium to 20 basis points – … Continue reading
The use of monthly CPI data for now more than 14-15 months with Y-o-Y inflation comparisons available for 2 months on the trot, it may now be a matter of time before the WPI data becomes secodnary in the Indian scheme. Consumer point inflation though has been refashioned and some may want to verify it … Continue reading
We as india writers have pushed out everything with insight in the last three four years, short of the unworthy Indian infrastructure which could not attract even $100 bln in Gross investments yet with two debt funds of $3 bln each and some older established PEs like Macquarie and 3i and the Govt of India … Continue reading
Hero Moto Corp, HDFC Bank and Bajaj Auto all hit expectations right and made merry of the third quarter encompassing a giant Festival run for India from Dusshera, Diwali nad Id to end with Christmas and the new year celebrations. Quarter on Quarter comparisons showed up great daredevil performances by industry leaders even as food … Continue reading
In a ‘blow’ to liberalisation as old as old wives tales from Delhi ki bhatti, RBI let out a warning from its bag as old hands from Foreign bank desks set out to build treasury positions in Rupee with out Import / Export obligations on behalf of compoany treasuries throughout the country. Right now it … Continue reading
RBI stuck to its plan for India’s monetary policy not bowing to FI market commentators and probably internal pulls as it refused to consider reserve requirements cuts like China in the period it waits out a bottoming of inflation expectations before considering interest rate cuts The CRR is 6% currently except for CBLO, ACU (overseas … Continue reading
Central Banks worldwide, our RBI included are busy providing Reserve Requirement cuts and Emergency liquidity mop ups to ensure inter bank market fluidity and avoid a situation like for Italy and Belgium, Spain and others last November in Europe. The ongoing Euro crisis is not just the cause of this drying up, but in fact … Continue reading
Even as QFIs allocation and direct investment by foreigners become India’s crowning glory, its IPO markets seem to have rutted into a big logjam ahead of action by SEBI to revise regulations for verificaation of IPO mechanics and catching 5 promoters and investment bankers for manipulation. According to Assocham, separately the 26% FDI in Pension … Continue reading
As 2012 begins on a low note , market levels are encouraging enough for investors to make a commitment to India for more than a few million and they laso have been able to play the non FII traders in the market who continue to roll over (angel brok) short positions in short of the … Continue reading
While india’s central bank has been rolling out reforms at a slow pace even without significant market acceptance as desired, from Fixed ?income Derivatives to the current CDS approvals, it has also been concurrently cajoling foreign banks to stop overextending non funded lines and off balance sheet exposure among other actions that are a sure … Continue reading
The classic inverted yield curve is caused by a liquidity / solvency crisis and one could very easily be caused in India if attention is not paid right now. As we worried last two weeks, short term liquidity drying up despite auctions has taken the short yields to 9.3% a new premium for these two … Continue reading
According to the news flow, borrowing costs across Asia have risen upto 50%, that’ is a sizable loss on balance sheets too where Asian swaps would have been incomplete rings and with this situation of freeze in financing however expected, those betting on Asia’s growth despite the picture of the slowdown ( not when you considered … Continue reading
ICICI Bank CDS suffered the most in the first few hours of India having approved CDS trading . Though only one insurer wrte CDS on ICICI Bank at a high but manageable 180 basis points a couple of weeks ago, the first few trades have pushed bank CDS’ to a high 471 points for ICICI … Continue reading
With inflation falling, the inverted yield curve ( 10 year yield a point below the short term 8.7% yield) could well be a good thing for india. the rupee depreciation could however keep imported inflation hot for India’s traders and manufacturers, esp as the Fuel basket is still up on the high ledge at 15.5% … Continue reading