India Morning Report: Markets to follow up another uptick from 5680

Markets are not closed today or tomorrow and muhurat trading times should therefore be announced tomorrow. National Spot Exchange had a special session on Dhanteras and the Commodity markets will have a similar one today. Fixed Income markets are flat and SBI had taken the sails out of the Rupee and Equities on Friday. Of course the Rupee market has had other reasons as Asian economies find more Dollar buyers and a rising oil spike confirmed the strength while the AUD, CAD and even the EURO could trend back into confidence this Monday and start the Dollar off on a sleigh ride including the bump on Black Friday and all the way into the Holidays.

The Diageo deal for Sorghum beer or the much closer to heart challenges on the FMCG play of ITC in non tobacco businesses are not likely to stir the market but most houses could be wrong about the latter as the brands are well set up and the Indian market will find a likely bigger window for ITC brands than HUL or even P&G with the connect established. The Indian Hotels deal or the Suzlon Repower disconnects are still mendable but unlikely

DLF and Unitech are unlikely failures this year and will continue in the same vein so they are futile unless the sector jump is more broadbased and as of now similar tagging besets Reliance Infra and GMR Infra. Ne bank licences are likely to see a good move int his rally to 6000 especially as YES BANK and IDFC look to make their mark as blue chips from the Emerging winnwers and they will attract larger investments per se. The HDFC Bank vs ICICI Bank war will be back in  2013 and is likely to impact this rally as the PSE banks become non entities after the SBI non sequitor on performance and the disappointing news on NPAs so eagerly awaited by China detractors and wholly unexpected in India . These are unlikey to flag ‘tail events ‘ in the respective markets in Shanghai/Hongkong and Mumbai/India

The Rupee could be looking to cross to the threshold of 55 but definitely loses steam at the 55 mark and may be prepped there for a rush back to below 54 Gold ETF buying pushed Sunday price to 31600 in Sunday trades in Mumbai