The week closed right 2 points next to the week before last levels on the Nifty and the Bank nifty is technically still able to maintain 11600 levels at its current 11585 banknifty score. The result, humdrum existence for those who thrived on the growth in India inc translating into indices moving up in a definite trend if not by leaps and bounds. An humdrum existence probably made interesting by surgical precision of tv series’ characters in our “day to day lives” including the clinical refusal to a date for candle light dinner with hubby dears like us.
Anyway, equally critical and probably funny is how another batch of shorts is out from market practitioners in a clear derisory preview of a Monday which should be extremely bullish at its key 5650 support on a Monday in the beginning of a series after such a reshuffle. It is likely my bet that the markets are up a 100 points on the Sensex today but that has been precluded by any such move likely snowballing in such aforementioned general climate into a 450 point move or the Nifty similarily running up closer to 90 points. The unlikeliness of the NIfty moiving into such comfortable orbits makes today’s moves limited. Of course there is a faint probability and thus a skew in the favor of a definite move down in terms of risk rewards because of the low probability, which means markets decide to take the south direction today for keeps is rather unlikely fortunately and not unfortunately as followers of risk reward charts might imagine.
Really if you deciphered that all, you are likely still less bright than my daughter whose schools reopen tomorrow as markets continue in a range bound equation for the growth in EBITDA this quarter which the TOI reports at 27% for index companiies having reported and includes FMCG and Cement while not giving the thumbs up to the 20% deprecation led 30% eyarly growth in IT and Pharma revenues. Net result, no picks are good for bigger and better exposures in ICICIBANK, IDFC and YESBANK which remain winners of the trend to Indian victory equation (Political and Business largesse and influence on the region)
And apparently I would not be inventing any quantitative constructs for such clear diction ona complexly meandering subject when I do start my fellowship at Bangalore/Ahmedabad later next year.
Banks however are likely to get more finegrained classification , the subject area being clearly defined and pushed by growth parameters from the potential of the unbanked and the unbranded to the potential of global competitiveness brought by globalising of the Indian Banking brands, no tthe outpost business we do to debilitate the banking brand from India today.
I for one would also give Duvvoori Rao a break and a C-Off for Chidu too instead of forcing anyone on a rate cut.
- Pre Closing Trading Strategies- October 18, 2012 (awardz.wordpress.com)
- India Morning Report August 28, 2012: Banknifty still floating in nowhere land..bang on expiry week targets (awardz.wordpress.com)
- Monday Trading strategies – India October 22-26, 2012 (awardz.wordpress.com)
- Indian Stock Futures Gain Before Central Bank’s Economic Report – Bloomberg (bloomberg.com)
- Pre Closing Trading Strategies September 03-08, 2012 (awardz.wordpress.com)
- Pre Closing Trading Strategies October 10-11, 2012 (awardz.wordpress.com)